MRV for aviation non-CO₂ effects

Contrail avoidance only counts if someone independent verifies it.

Fair Sky matches flight trajectories to satellite-observed contrails and quantifies the climate impact of every flight — so operators, verifiers, and regulators can trust the numbers behind non-CO₂ reporting and mitigation.

ATTRIBUTION · EXAMPLE FLIGHT · FL350 · 18:36–19:04 UTC ADS-B ⋅ GOES-19 ⋅ ERA5
ISSR · RHi 112% observed contrail · 62 km · persisted 41 min ATTRIBUTION 0.93 ΔRF +38 mW·m⁻²·h CO₂e (per flight, reportable) vs. avoidance +2,000 ft: −86%
The measurement chain

Five links from trajectory to verified climate impact

Each flight is scored end-to-end. No modeled claim stands alone — every step is checked against what the atmosphere and the satellite actually show.

Trajectory

Where the aircraft flew

Actual 4-D flight path reconstructed from ADS-B, with aircraft and engine type.

Atmosphere

Could a contrail persist

Temperature and ice supersaturation along the track from reanalysis and forecast meteorology.

Observation

Did one actually form

Geostationary and polar satellite imagery confirms whether a contrail appeared, spread, and persisted.

Attribution

Which flight made it

Observed contrails are matched back to individual aircraft with an explicit confidence score.

Impact

What it did to climate

Persistence, extent, and radiative effect — reported per flight, comparable to an avoidance alternative.

Why independence matters

The referee, not a player

Avoidance tools are increasingly built by the same organizations that plan the flights. When the entity recommending a reroute also grades whether it worked, the numbers can't anchor compliance, markets, or public trust. Fair Sky builds no avoidance product — we exist only to verify.

EU non-CO₂ MRV — mandatory since 1 Jan 2025
2027 — scope expands to all flights to/from the EEA
Per-flight CO₂e — reported, verified, defensible
Verification-only — structurally independent
Who it's for

Built for everyone who has to stand behind a non-CO₂ number

Reporting is the entry point. Once non-CO₂ impact is measured, operators must decide which flights to mitigate — and prove the mitigation worked, at the smallest fuel and operational penalty.

Operators

European aircraft operators

Meet mandatory non-CO₂ reporting, target the small share of flights that drive most contrail warming, and verify that avoidance actions actually reduced impact.

Platforms

Flight-planning providers

Embed an independent contrail intelligence and verification layer inside the software airlines already use for dispatch and planning.

Assurance

Accredited verifiers & authorities

Independent, observation-backed evidence to substantiate operator non-CO₂ submissions in the EU MRV workflow.

Demand side

Corporate travel buyers

See the full climate impact of your travel program — CO₂ and observed non-CO₂ — and steer spend toward lower total-impact flights.

FAIR SKY
Interactive demo • synthetic data

Verify the climate impact of every flight.

We combine aircraft trajectory, atmospheric conditions, satellite observations and aircraft metadata to identify persistent contrails and verify whether mitigation worked.

Product output: Flight-level contrail detection + attribution + climate impact + avoidance verification.

Contrail Climate Score

82
/ 100 warming risk

Persistent warming contrail observed and attributed with high confidence.

Contrail detected
YES
Satellite-confirmed
Attribution confidence
94%
Flight → observed trail
Persistent length
147 km
Observed + tracked
Estimated impact
1.8 t
CO₂e-equivalent*

Observed flight + contrail

Cyan: aircraft track   •   Yellow: high-risk atmospheric segment   •   White: observed contrail
Flight startHigh-impact segment: 11 minFlight end

What we measure

Aircraft position & altitude
ADS-B
Ice-supersaturated conditions
Detected
Contrail formation
Observed
Contrail persistence
2.1 h
Contrail-to-flight attribution
94%
Radiative climate effect
Net warming

Did avoidance work?

Compare the observed flight with the lowest-cost alternative trajectory.

Actual flight
1.8 t CO₂e

Persistent contrail observed.

Alternative: +2,000 ft for 14 min
0.42 t CO₂e

77% lower estimated contrail climate impact.

Questions?

Talk to Fair Sky

We’re building independent measurement, reporting, and verification for aviation’s non-CO₂ climate effects. If you’re an airline operator, verifier, flight-planning provider, corporate travel buyer, researcher, or potential partner, we’d love to hear from you.

Interested in a pilot or partnership?

Tell us what you’re working on and where independent contrail verification could help.

Email Fair Sky